In its monthly follow-up report for the State’s Financial Administration until the end of February 2020 (as published on its website), the Ministry of Finance indicates that total realized revenues until the end of the 11th month of the current Fiscal Year 2019/2020 scored KD 15.756 billion, which is 99.6% of the total estimated revenues for the entire fiscal year in the amount of about KD 15.812 billion.
In details, actual oil revenues until 29/02/2020 were at KD 14.310 billion, i.e. 103.2% of the estimated oil revenues for the entire current fiscal year in the amount of KD 13.863 billion, or about 90.8% of total collected revenues. The average Kuwaiti oil price for the first eleven months of the current fiscal year 2019/2020 scored US$ 64 per barrel. An amount of KD 1.446 billion was collected from non-oil revenues during the same period with a monthly average of KD 131.461 million, while the total estimated amount for the entire current fiscal year was about KD 1.948 billion. This means that the realized amount if it continues at the monthly average, will be less for the entire current fiscal year by nearly KD 370.9 million than the estimated.
Expenditures allocations for the current fiscal year were estimated at KD 22.5 billion, of which an amount of KD 13.841 billion has been actually spent according to the bulletin until 29/02/2020. An amount of KD 2.165 billion has been obligated and considered as spent, raising the total expenditures -the actual and the obligated- to KD 16.006 billion. The monthly average of the actual expenditures and the obligated is nearly KD 1.455 billion.
Though the bulletin concludes that the budget achieved at the end of the 11th month of the current fiscal year a KD 249.584 million deficit before deducting the 10% of total revenues to the favor of the Future Generations Reserve, we publish it without recommending relying on it and taking into account that the monthly spending average will increase significantly by the end of the fiscal year. The surplus or the deficit figure by the end of the fiscal year relies mainly on oil prices and production, adding that oil prices currently are than before concluding that the deficit may rise further due to the global spread of the Corona virus and its direct impact on the local and the global economy.